成功和不成功的决策

主题:做决定决策理论风险 页数:2(594个字) 发布时间:2012年11月5日
你怎么看作为一个成功的和不成功的决策之间的主要区别?多少运气与技巧有什么关系呢?多少时间需要传递到知道,如果一个决策是成功还是失败?决定和明智的选择是正确的能力往往是问题是如何提出的问题。尽管我们尽可能地做到逻辑尽量在作出决定,有时我们最终作出不合逻辑的选择或选择,其实是好的,但最终失败。所以,要了解人们如何决定的事情,以避免不良的判断是很重要的。决策是指“在行动 - 这也可能包括不采取行动的替代课程做出选择”。为了使大范围的决定,个人在整个组织使用他们收集到的信息。然后,这些决定会改变一个组织的过程中,以及影响他们的生活。制作成功的决策肯定是一个管理者最重要的任务,它往往是非常困难的。 Success may be defined as “the achievement of something desired, planned, or attempted”. In order a decision to be successful, a company should make sure that they make the best choice by going through the formal steps of the rational decision-making model. The rational decision-making model describes “a series of steps that decision makers should consider if their goal is to maximize the quality of their outcomes”. This is the main difference between a successful and an unsuccessful decision; by not considering these decision-making models, a company’s goal can fail just because they do not go through the necessary steps which are: Identifying the problem, establishing decision criteria, weigh decision criteria, generate alternatives, evaluate the alternatives, choose the best alternative, implement the decision, and evaluate the decision (Steps in the Rational Decision-Making Model). When it comes to luck and skills and their relation to success, I think there are two extremes:...
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